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Tricky Tipster: A change of seasons

It's almost August which means its time for the Lucas Oil Winternationals. Yes, that's strange but what isn't strange is Tricky Tipster's picks for this week's Pomona event.
30 Jul 2021
Posted by 厕所强奸.com staff
Tricky Tipster庐
Robert Hight

Add this to things you never thought you鈥檇 read but after two-thirds of the annual 厕所强奸 Western Swing, we鈥檙e headed to Auto Club Pomona Raceway for the Lucas Oil 厕所强奸 Winternationals presented by Protect the Harvest. Odd as that may seem, it鈥檚 where we are midway through 2021, and after nearly 18 long months it鈥檚 going to be good to get back to racing in Pomona.

For everyone but Steve Torrence, the odds of a Western Swing Sweep ended last week in Sonoma. Torrence still has a chance to pull off the rare feat; in fact, he鈥檚 a large favorite to do so. Torrence has won almost everything this season, including four of the last five races so there鈥檚 no reason to think the Capco team won鈥檛 keep rolling. Along with Torrence, Tipster has labeled Robert Hight, Greg Anderson, and Matt Smith as the favorites this week. 听

TOP FUEL

FUNNY CAR | PRO STOCK | PRO STOCK MOTORCYCLE

Steve Torrence
Capco Contractors

Can he do it? Can he sweep the Western Swing? Of course, he can and almost certainly will. The Capco Contractors dragster has got 28-3 this year and already has six wins so it鈥檚 hard to imagine they won鈥檛 just keep rolling through Pomona. Although, it鈥檚 interesting to note that Torrence hasn鈥檛 raced in Pomona since the end of the 2019 season so it鈥檚 been a while.
Odds: Even

Antron Brown
Matco Tools

He didn鈥檛 have the quickest car in Sonoma but managed to put together a very respectable semifinal finish to maintain his hold on second place in the Camping World standings. He鈥檚 won here before, but it鈥檚 been a while as in back-to-back victories in 2009-10. If Torrence stumbles, this might be the team in the best position to take advantage of it.
Odds: 4-1

Doug Kalitta
Mac Tools

Given the year he鈥檚 had so far, we鈥檙e not totally sure he should be ranked this high but it鈥檚 very hard to overlook the fact that he鈥檚 won the last three races held in Pomona, and overall, he鈥檚 a six-time winner at Auto Club Pomona Raceway. He also made a very impressive run in the opening round in Sonoma with a 3.73, a good sign that the Mac Tools team is headed in the right direction.
Odds: 5-1

Brittany Force
Monster Energy/Flavor Pak

If we were handicapping based on the quickest run of the weekend, the Monster team would be a near lock with solid qualifying results at almost every event. On Sunday鈥檚 it gets a bit trickier which is why she鈥檚 fourth. The wins will definitely come, perhaps as soon as this weekend, but stringing four runs together on race day has been a challenge lately.
Odds: 6-1

Leah Pruett
Mopar Pennzoil

Is it a bit premature to say that the Mopar team is back in business? Maybe. Maybe not but they sure looked good in Sonoma with a string of low 3.7s and a runner-up finish. Looking at the numbers, it wouldn鈥檛 have taken much for them to end Torrence鈥檚 shot at the Sweep. It鈥檚 not hard to see that this crew is about to put an end to their early-season frustrations.
Odds: 8-1

Mike Salinas
Scrappers Racing

The Scrappers team really wanted to have a strong showing in front of their home fans in Sonoma, but it didn鈥檛 quite work out. There鈥檚 still a chance to win a race in California and quite honestly, no one should be surprised if they actually pull it off. True, this car can be a bit hit or miss but when it鈥檚 one, it鈥檚 as good as any other car in the sport.
Odds: 10-1

Shawn Langdon
DHL

He鈥檚 a four-time winner here in Top Fuel and a native of Southern California. More importantly, last week his holeshot win over Clay Millican in round one provided a solid reminder of the main reason why he鈥檚 driving one of Connie Kalitta鈥檚 cars. It鈥檚 been a tough summer so far, but there is still a lot of time to turn this season around and this would be as good a place as any to get the ball rolling.
Odds: 11-1

Clay Millican
Parts Plus

Coming off a great showing in Denver, we expected big things from the Parts Plus team and they delivered in qualifying with a very impressive 3.725 that was good for the No. 4 spot. Their luck wasn鈥檛 so good on race day but that鈥檚 just how it goes sometimes. Few people are able to do more with less than crew chief Mike Kloeber, which means they鈥檙e likely to be competitive even at the end of a tough three-race stretch.
Odds: 13-1


FUNNY CAR

Robert Hight
Auto Club Chevy

Maybe it鈥檚 the Auto Club connection or maybe the fact that he鈥檚 been to ten final rounds here with five victories, but his name seems synonymous with Pomona. Last week, he ended Matt Hagan鈥檚 shot at a Western Swing sweep in the Sonoma final. There is a better-than-average chance that he鈥檒l pull off a mini-sweep with two wins in three races.
Odds: 4-1

Matt Hagan
Mopar/Pennzoil Dodge

No chance for a sweep now but it wouldn鈥檛 be too bad to come home from a long trip with two wins and a runner-up and that鈥檚 certainly possible based on the recent performance by the Mopar Dodge team. A month ago, he was No. 6 in the Camping World standings and he鈥檚 now moved up to second and not too far out of the lead. He can get there at his current pace.
Odds: 5-1

Alexis Dejoria
RoKit/Bandero Premium Tequila Toyota

The last three races have been a runner-up and two semifinals and there are many nitro teams out here who wouldn鈥檛 gladly accept that result. For all their recent success, the Bandero team expects more and they鈥檙e likely to get more in the coming weeks. Only a little good luck separates them from their first win of the season.
Odds: 6-1

Bob Tasca III
Motorcraft/Quick Lane Ford

Didn鈥檛 really expect him to take an early loss in Sonoma but those things happen sometimes. Now, his points lead is down to just over a round with the end of the regular season in sight. Lately, his qualifying pace has been off a touch but honestly nothing to be too concerned about. It鈥檚 easy to figure this car for a semifinal or better finish from week to week.
Odds: 8-1

Ron Capps
NAPA Dodge

Speaking of teams that are overdue for a win, how about the NAPA crew? They came close last week in Sonoma with a great effort that included the No. 1 qualifying position and a string of 3.9s. That will likely get the job done this week if they can repeat it. Historically, Pomona has been a good track for Capps with three wins in eight final rounds.
Odds: 10-1

John Force
Peak/Blue Def Chevy

Twenty-six times he鈥檚 been to the final round at a Pomona event and in 16 of those finals he鈥檇 delivered the goods which is just a small part of why he鈥檚 the G.O.A.T. in the Funny Car class. And, not all of that success is ancient history. He was a runner-up here the last time we raced at the 2020 season kick-off. With two wins in the bank already this season it wouldn鈥檛 be the least bit surprising to see a third win here.
Odds: 11-1

J.R. Todd
DHL Toyota

The winner of the 2018 Finals in Pomona could use a little good luck since he hasn鈥檛 been to the semifinals since Charlotte. Has slipped from first to sixth in the standings since the start of the season so the DHL crew could really use a 鈥済et healthy鈥 weekend in order to reverse that trend.
Odds: 12-1

Tim Wilkerson
Levi, Ray & Shoup Ford

Not really sure how last week鈥檚 big boomer in Sonoma might affect the LRS team in the third leg of an already tough three-race swing but they鈥檝e been competitive so far and figure to be in the mix again this week. They鈥檝e got a very respectable 11-9 record in elimination rounds this season and appear capable of much more.
Odds: 14-1


PRO STOCK

Greg Anderson
HendrickCars.com Camaro

Amazing stat of the 2021 season (so far)? He鈥檚 been the low qualifier at seven of eight events and was No. 2 at the other. That proves definitively who has the best car in the class even if his race day results have been a bit inconsistent. The other amazing stat is that he鈥檚 got 12 wins here and just 2 runner-up finishes so if you want him out of the way you鈥檇 better do it early.
Odds: 3-1

Erica Enders
Melling/Elite Camaro

It鈥檚 really rare for the four-time champ to lose on a holeshot but it happens, even to the best of them, and honestly, it鈥檚 not a major cause for concern going forward. The Elite team had a great car in Sonoma and it鈥檚 hard to imagine they won鈥檛 be very competitive this weekend. In fact, they鈥檙e likely co-favorites for the win.
Odds: 4-1

Aaron Stanfield
Janac Bros. Camaro

He鈥檚 done so well in the last couple of seasons that it's easy to lose sight of the fact that he鈥檚 still a kid with a whole 29 Pro Stock races under his belt. He鈥檚 won three of those 29 races including two of the last three so he鈥檚 definitely finding his groove at the right time. Now the big question;听 can he make a run at Anderson for the top spot?
Odds: 5-1

Matt Hartford
Total Seal Camaro

The fourth-ranked car in the class gets our No. 4 spot this week and that seems about right. He鈥檚 also been the fourth quickest qualifier at the last two races which also makes sense. Would expect to see him among the semifinalists this week with a distinct possibility that he could also make it to the final round.
Odds: 6-1

Dallas Glenn
RAD Torque Systems Camaro

Remember last week we said he鈥檇 cooled off a bit since Charlotte win? Well, that鈥檚 no longer the case because he drove to the final last week in Sonoma and moved up two spots in the points. For someone who鈥檇 never driven a Pro Stock car six months ago to the No. 5 ranked driver in the class, this is an amazing success story.
Odds: 7-1

Troy Coughlin Jr.
JEGS.com Camaro

We don鈥檛 think it鈥檚 an exaggeration to suggest that last week鈥檚 holeshot win against Erica Enders was the biggest round win of his professional career to date. For sure, there will be more impressive wins to come and he鈥檚 going to get a Pro Stock win before long. Could it happen this weekend? A lot to ask but sure it could.
Odds: 8-1

Kyle Koretsky
Lucas Oil/NitroFish Camaro

The Lucas Oil Camaro was one of the quickest cars in Sonoma. In fact, it鈥檚 been good just about all year and despite a small hiccup in the quarterfinals, the driver has been pretty good as well. He鈥檚 still learning the finer points of Pro Stock racing and it all seems to be coming together nicely. 听
Odds: 10-1

Mason McGaha
Harlow Sammons Camaro

He grabbed a .007-second lead against Anderson in the quarterfinals last week but needed a few thousandths more. That鈥檚 just how competitive the Pro Stock class is with most races decided by thousandths of a second. So far, this kid doesn鈥檛 seem to get rattled much, which is one of the best traits a Pro Stock racer can have.
Odds: 12-1

PRO STOCK MOTORCYCLE

Matt Smith
Denso EBR

So he didn鈥檛 get the win last week in Sonoma so his chances to sweep the swing are dead but isn鈥檛 a 205 mph national record a nice consolation prize? Regardless of what happened in Sonoma, he鈥檚 still the favorite this week and by a fairly decent margin. If you want to nit-pick, he could be a bit more consistent, but it鈥檚 hard to argue with his overall performance.
Odds: 3-2

Andrew Hines
Vance & Hines Buell

With a strong track record at Pomona and a runner-up finish last week in Sonoma he鈥檚 got every reason to feel optimistic heading into this week鈥檚 event. If nothing else, this race doesn鈥檛 figure to be nearly as stressful as his last Pomona experience, where he lost in round one and needed a miracle to clinch the title at the 2019 Finals.
Odds: 4-1

Steve Johnson
MakRak Suzuki

Not sure exactly what happened last week on race day but this bike was very solid in qualifying, as it has been just about all season. He鈥檚 currently holding firm to the No. 2 spot in the Camping World standings and the No. 3 spot in Tipster鈥檚 predictions so that makes him one of the favorites to get a win.
Odds: 5-1

Eddie Krawiec
Vance & Hines Buell

No easy way to say this but Sonoma was a bad race. It鈥檚 extremely rare that any Vance & Hines bike qualifies in the bottom half of the field and loses in round one, especially this Vance & Hines bike. For now, we鈥檒l just assume this was a one-off occurrence and that things will be much better in Pomona. Remember, he鈥檚 still not locked into the Top 10 after missing two races.
Odds: 7-1

Angie Smith
Denso EBR

Okay, now she鈥檚 earned another big career honor by qualifying No. 1 but with that performance comes expectations and those expectations should include some final-round appearances. All the ingredients are here for long-term success. It鈥檚 just a matter of putting all the pieces together at the right time.
Odds: 8-1

Karen Stoffer
Big St. Charles Suzuki

What she did last week in Sonoma was nothing short of amazing and it wasn鈥檛 just the fact that she won. Honestly, she turned in one of the best riding performances of the season and provided a much-needed boost to the WAR team. There is a lot of parity in the Pro Stock Motorcycle class right now and she鈥檚 a big reason for it.
Odds: 10-1

Jerry Savoie
White Alligator Suzuki

The results are not yet conclusive, but it does appear that the White Alligator Suzuki program turned an important corner in Sonoma with a pair of very quick motorcycles under their awning. It will be very interesting to see if they can maintain their performance this week but if that turns out to be the case then the rest of the class will have their hands full.
Odds: 12-1

Joey Gladstone
Reed Motorsports Suzuki

This was a tough call because we had to leave Scotty Pollacheck, Cory Reed, Ryan Oehler, and Angelle Sampey off of this week鈥檚 Tipster. Those are the sort of decisions that normally come back to bite Tipster but we鈥檙e going to go with Gladstone because he does have a great bike and is one of the class鈥 top riders. Let鈥檚 see how this goes.
Odds: 14-1